Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
36
60
forecasters
21
36 comments
60 forecasters
AI Technical Benchmarks
4 more...
What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates?
Follow
share
embed
Forecasts
Timeline
Fan Chart
Timeline
Fan Chart
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (36)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
9 comments
78 forecasters
SOTA on ImageNet Top-1 Accuracy
26 comments
739 forecasters
Top ARC-AGI-2 score in 2026?
Current estimate
92.9
1 comment
17 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2030
Current estimate
96.4%
3 comments
25 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2040
Current estimate
99%
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027
5 comments
23 forecasters
IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
8 comments
57 forecasters
Highest score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on Jan 1, 2028?
Current estimate
42.6%
22 comments
30 forecasters
General AI solves International Math Olympiad
Current estimate
23 Jul 2026