34 comments
60 forecasters
What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates?
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
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Opened:Jul 4, 2022
Closed:Jun 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Aug 29, 2025
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
78 forecasters
What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?
23 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
60.8%
(51.6 - 72.1)
60.8%
(51.6 - 72.1)
47 forecasters