Question
How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022?
Resolved:4Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
4.06
(3.2 - 5.86)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 3.199 | — |
median | 4.059 | — |
upper 75% | 5.856 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100M | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?4
Community Baseline Score
118.4
Community Peer Score
34.3
Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 21, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 21, 2022