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What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

38 comments38

64 forecasters

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Resolved

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Aug 4, 2022

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolves:

Mar 1, 2025

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Major-party voter registration slips as independents and third-parties surge

•Jun 26, 2025

Is the Two-Party System In Danger? Here's What the Data Says.

Townhall•Jun 25, 2025

Data shows Democratic voter registrations slipping, Republicans ticking down as independent and third-party expands

NBC•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

39.1

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Aug 4, 2022

Closes:

Nov 5, 2024

Resolves:

Mar 1, 2025

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Major-party voter registration slips as independents and third-parties surge

•Jun 26, 2025

Is the Two-Party System In Danger? Here's What the Data Says.

Townhall•Jun 25, 2025

Data shows Democratic voter registrations slipping, Republicans ticking down as independent and third-party expands

NBC•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

39.1