Question

Will any current provincial level administrative divisions of China formally declare independence from China before 2050?

Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
40%
(15% - 50%)

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50%
community: 40%
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Opened:Aug 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2022