35 forecasters

What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual?

community

91.6

result

88.26

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Feb 9, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 4, 2022

Mpox (Monkeypox)

Health & Pandemics

🏆 2022 Leaderboard

Officials announce first known cases of severe mpox strain spreading in US

USA Today•Oct 18, 2025

New strain of Mpox virus that is more severe and easily spread found in major US city

Daily Mail•Oct 18, 2025

Severe Strain of Monkeypox Virus Detected in Los Angeles

Breitbart•Oct 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch