Question

What percentage of monkeypox cases in California will be among cisgender men who are gay/same-gender loving or bisexual?

Resolved:88.26
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
91.6
(88.3 - 94.1)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%88.32
median91.61
upper 75%94.08

What was the final result?88.26

Community Baseline Score
83.8
Community Peer Score
10.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Feb 9, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 4, 2022