Question

Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023?

Resolved:No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.8

Community Peer Score

35.8

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Feb 2, 2023

Closes:

Feb 1, 2024

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 4, 2023

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.83

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Feb 2, 2023

Closes:

Feb 1, 2024

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 4, 2023

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.83

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32