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58 forecasters

6

58 forecasters

Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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21 comments18 forecasters

1500 annual NYC murders before 2050

1 comment13 forecasters

US Homicide Rate?

14 comments56 forecasters

Global Homicide Rate

20 comments43 forecasters

US murder rate in 2030

Current estimate

4.85 per 100,000

2 comments94 forecasters

(Attempted) murder of ≥2 US judges or legislators in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: Yes

2025-2026result: Yes

1 comment14 forecasters

Mass Shootings in the US?

23 comments80 forecasters

Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

32 comments148 forecasters

Police Abolition in American City by 2035