M

Question

Will China conduct a test detonation of a nuclear weapon before 2028?

2
19
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction8%

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50%
community: 8%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
median 8.0%mean 8.7%
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Authors:
RyanBeck
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Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Arms Control Association
Federal Agency on Atomic Energy (Russia)
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
List of nuclear weapons tests of North Korea
China
List of parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
South Africa
Peaceful nuclear explosion
US Department of State
United Nations Security Council

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