168 forecasters

Will Russia order a general mobilization by January 1, 2023?

63.3%chance

63.3%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 63% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 16, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Sep 24, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 17, 2022

2022 Leaderboard

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