Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
26
196
forecasters
21
26 comments
196 forecasters
Geopolitics
1 more...
Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (26)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
7 comments
27 forecasters
Date of First Nuclear Detonation
Current estimate
Feb 2046
0 comments
34 forecasters
US Reaction to NATO Offensive Detonation
75%
chance
5 comments
48 forecasters
US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?
5%
chance
0 comments
24 forecasters
First Detonation by 2050 Inadvertent
21.8%
chance
9 comments
127 forecasters
Russia-NATO war without US
14%
chance
2 comments
27 forecasters
U.S. Nuclear First Use After China Drops NFU
75%
chance
5 comments
43 forecasters
China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?
22%
chance
35 comments
193 forecasters
No Non-Test Nuclear Detonations before 2035
74.1%
chance