13 comments
21 forecasters
Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?
5%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2022
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?
56% chance
23
Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
20% chance
111
By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?
14.7 GW
(12.5 - 16.3)
14.7 GW
(12.5 - 16.3)
8 forecasters