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13 comments
65 forecasters

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

Fabiano Caruana20%
Dommaraju Gukesh15%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov13%
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Authors:
casens
Opened:Sep 30, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Sports & Entertainment
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Chess: Fide to ‘discipline’ Kramnik over Naroditsky cheating allegations
Guardian•Oct 24, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Russian chess grandmaster to be investigated over cheating allegations made towards Daniel Naroditsky
Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2025
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Chess board may discipline Russian grandmaster who accused Naroditsky of cheating
CBS•Oct 23, 2025
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When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

01 Jul 2026
(18 Aug 2025 - 28 Jun 2028)
01 Jul 2026
(18 Aug 2025 - 28 Jun 2028)
31 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri
99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura
99%
18 others
8 forecasters

When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

Mar 2033
(31 May 2028 - >Jan 2035)
Mar 2033
(31 May 2028 - >Jan 2035)
28 forecasters
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