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13 comments
65 forecasters

Who will be the next #1 FIDE-ranked chess player?

Fabiano Caruana20%
Dommaraju Gukesh15%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov13%
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Authors:
casens
Opened:Sep 30, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
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When will Magnus Carlsen no longer be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

05 Nov 2026
(13 Aug 2025 - 18 Oct 2028)
05 Nov 2026
(13 Aug 2025 - 18 Oct 2028)
28 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

R Praggnanandhaa
95%
Hikaru Nakamura
88%
Alireza Firouzja
39%
18 others
5 forecasters

When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?

Oct 2034
(30 Jun 2028 - >Jan 2035)
Oct 2034
(30 Jun 2028 - >Jan 2035)
27 forecasters
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