20 comments
56 forecasters
Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?
39%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 25, 2022
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Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?
42% chance
11
Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?
65% chance
108
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
80% chance
28