M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Learn more, and share your feedback and questions here

Group

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

Make a Prediction

TBD group labelresolution
25thmedian75th
<50
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
0.1%
1.17k
2.049k
3.659k

What was the final result?1.25k

Community Baseline Score
58.5
Community Peer Score
18.1

Forecast Timeline



Comments

? comments