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74 forecasters

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

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Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Oct 12, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2123
Scheduled resolution:May 2, 2123
Forecasting Our World in Data
Business of AI
Economy & Business
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Artificial Intelligence
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What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2023
5×10²⁵
2025
4.6×10²⁶
2032
3×10²⁹
2 others
91 forecasters

What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?

2023
76.8
2025
78.5
2032
98.6
2 others
76 forecasters

What will world real GDP growth per capita be in the following years?

2023
3.467
2025
2.92
2032
4.14
2 others
73 forecasters
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