Question

Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?

Resolved:No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction

10%

(5% - 26%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.0

Community Peer Score

27.6

Authors:

ChristianKleineidam

Opened:

Apr 12, 2016

Closes:

Sep 1, 2016

Resolves:

Sep 27, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 12, 2016

Natural Sciences

Technology

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

65.5

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%

Authors:

ChristianKleineidam

Opened:

Apr 12, 2016

Closes:

Sep 1, 2016

Resolves:

Sep 27, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 12, 2016

Natural Sciences

Technology

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

37%

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

65.5

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%