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What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

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57 forecasters

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Year

median

(deaths per 100k)

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CDF

	<5	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5000
community	8.7%	23.88	53.67	100.5	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<5	8.7%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	23.88	—
median	53.67	—
upper 75%	100.5	—
Upper bound
>5000	0.2%	—

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Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 22

2023

2025

2032

2052

2122

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 26, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2124

Forecasting Our World in Data

Health & Pandemics

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