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Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| US/NATO Ops in Ukraine | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
US/NATO Ops in UA | annulled | |||
No US/NATO Ops in UA | no | |||
Resolved Dec 31, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
0.1%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
63%
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
11%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
0.1%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
63%
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
11%