118 forecasters

Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

> 50 km^2Ambiguous

< 50 km^2result: No

> 50 km^2

< 50 km^2

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 21, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 2, 2024

Red Lines in Ukraine

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