Question
Will Ukrainian military forces strike targets more than 10 kilometers inside Russian territory?
Resolved:05 Dec 2022 14:00Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
08 Mar 2023
(16 Dec 2022 - 29 Oct 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 16 Dec 2022 | — |
| median | 08 Mar 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 29 Oct 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2024 | 21.6% | — |
What was the final result?05 Dec 2022 14:00
Community Baseline Score
0.9
Community Peer Score
6.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2022