75 forecasters

Will the latest Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims a hundred lives?

25%chance

25%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 10, 2018

Closes:

Sep 5, 2018

Resolved:

Sep 24, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 10, 2018

Health & Pandemics

2018 Leaderboard

A new Ebola outbreak has been declared. Here’s what we know

Independent•Sep 16, 2025

Mass vaccinations underway and towns locked down as panic over Ebola pandemic 'crisis' spreads

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

A new Ebola outbreak has been declared. Here’s what we know

Independent•Sep 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch