Question

Will there be a "no-deal" Brexit?

Resolved:No

25 comments25

Total Forecasters142

Community Prediction

40%

(28% - 49%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.8

Community Peer Score

7.7

Authors:

aran

Opened:

Aug 10, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2018

Resolves:

Mar 29, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 10, 2018

Politics

2018 Leaderboard

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will the UK join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention before 2029?

25%

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%

Authors:

aran

Opened:

Aug 10, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2018

Resolves:

Mar 29, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 10, 2018

Politics

2018 Leaderboard

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will the UK join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention before 2029?

25%

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%