Question
Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?
Total Forecasters153
Community Prediction
4.55 stars/year
(1.38 stars/year - 15.2 stars/year)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.01 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.382 | — |
| median | 4.547 | — |
| upper 75% | 15.21 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 1.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2018