Question
Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?
Total Forecasters192
Community Prediction
8.89×10⁻⁴%
(2.24×10⁻¹⁰% - 0.0932%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1×10⁻³¹% | 3.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2.24×10⁻¹⁰% | — |
| median | 8.895×10⁻⁴% | — |
| upper 75% | 0.0932% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 22, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Aug 22, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2018