Question
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?
Total Forecasters164
Community Prediction
3.48×10⁻⁴%
(1.08×10⁻⁸% - 0.0571%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1×10⁻²⁰% | 4.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.083×10⁻⁸% | — |
| median | 3.481×10⁻⁴% | — |
| upper 75% | 0.05711% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 26, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 26, 2018