Question

Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication?

Total Forecasters174
Community Prediction
0.158%
(0.0289% - 0.485%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1×10⁻⁵%1.0%
Quartiles
lower 25%0.02888%
median0.1579%
upper 75%0.4847%
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Opened:Aug 27, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 28, 2018