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What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?
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| Outcome | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3% | yes | |||
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3% | no | |||
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3% | no | |||
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3% | no | |||
Resolved Jan 1, 2024
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