Question

Conditional on Russia attacking Ukraine with at least one nuclear weapon before 2024, will Russia use at least one nuclear weapon on Kyiv before 2024?

Resolved:Annulled
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction
3.5%
(1% - 12%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3.5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2022