31 comments
47 forecasters
Will a grant recipient of the FTX Foundation have their grant funds frozen, seized, or demanded back?
March 1, 2023result: No
January 1, 2024result: Yes
January 1, 2027result: Yes
Authors:
Opened:Nov 12, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Resolved:Dec 13, 2023
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
300 months
(295 - 303)
300 months
(295 - 303)
135 forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?
300 months
(286 - 304)
300 months
(286 - 304)
46 forecasters
Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?
0.5% chance
158