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90 comments
137 forecasters

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

Current estimate
300 months
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:Nov 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2022
Economy & Business
Politics
Cryptocurrencies
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How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

300 months
(295 - 305)
300 months
(295 - 305)
46 forecasters

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030?

0.1% chance
161

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Fried
Yes
Caroline Ellison
Yes
Gary Wang
Yes
2 others
117 forecasters
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