Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
7
74
forecasters
7
7 comments
74 forecasters
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
1 more...
Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (7)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
64 comments
293 forecasters
UK Rejoins EU before 2030
1%
chance
9 comments
85 forecasters
Country leaving the EU by 2030?
4%
chance
28 comments
110 forecasters
UK Applies to Rejoin EU
Current estimate
Jun 2040
24 comments
199 forecasters
Scotland leaves UK by 2030
0.7%
chance
7 comments
61 forecasters
UK re-entry into the European Economic Area
60%
chance
3 comments
14 forecasters
Will UK join PEM convention before 2029?
33%
chance
1 comment
20 forecasters
Youth mobility scheme before 2030?
66.8%
chance
17 comments
166 forecasters
Scotland Votes Leave in Next Union Referendum
55%
chance