6 comments
26 forecasters
Will Philip Davis cease to be Prime Minister of the Bahamas before January 1, 2024?
8%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 8% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 25, 2022
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
300 months
(295 - 303)
300 months
(295 - 303)
135 forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?
299 months
(257 - 304)
299 months
(257 - 304)
46 forecasters
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
114 forecasters