76 forecasters

Will someone run a marathon in less than 2 hours (per IAAF rules) by 2023?

40%chance

40%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 26, 2018

Closes:

Nov 11, 2018

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 26, 2018

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