36 forecasters

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00

KARINov 2034

JAXAOct 2033

ESAMar 2033

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 30, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2036

🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Economy & Business

8 Space Missions to Watch in October: Starship, Amazon Kuiper, Blue Origin’s Moon Lander

Observer (NY)•Oct 2, 2025

As China Gains in Space Race, New Bill Looks to ‘Launch’ US Forward

Newsweek•Sep 26, 2025

Artemis moon mission now has possible launch dates. Here's when, everything to know

USA Today•Sep 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch