29 comments
77 forecasters
Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon?
40%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2018
Closes:Dec 1, 2018
Resolved:Aug 23, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2018
Will India have a successful crewed moon landing before 2027?
0.1% chance
89
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.92 spacecraft
(4.82 - 7.22)
5.92 spacecraft
(4.82 - 7.22)
74 forecasters
When will a Turkish mission make a soft landing on the Moon?
>Jan 2040
(Nov 2036 - >Jan 2040)
>Jan 2040
(Nov 2036 - >Jan 2040)
22 forecasters