Question
When will OpenAI next update its approach to alignment research?
Resolved:24 Feb 2023 12:00Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
25 Jun 2023
(20 Apr 2023 - 29 Aug 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 20 Apr 2023 | — |
| median | 25 Jun 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 29 Aug 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2023 | 7.4% | — |
What was the final result?24 Feb 2023 12:00
Community Baseline Score
2.6
Community Peer Score
2.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 7, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Dec 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 7, 2022
