15 comments
131 forecasters
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will MDMA be approved for the treatment of PTSD by 2025?
60%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 60% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2018
Closes:Aug 28, 2020
Resolved:Jan 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 27, 2018
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?
64% chance
177
Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025?
5% chance
211
In how many of the 50 US states will it be legal to use psilocybin for therapy on December 31, 2025?
3.75 states
(2.46 - 7.19)
3.75 states
(2.46 - 7.19)
61 forecasters