Question
How many ASAT tests will occur by 2030?
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
3.06 tests
(1.29 tests - 6.09 tests)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.29 | — |
| median | 3.059 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.086 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.3% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2023