Question
How many ASAT tests will occur by 2030?
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
3.51 tests
(1.45 tests - 7 tests)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.454 | — |
| median | 3.512 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.997 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2023