6 comments
97 forecasters
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
Current estimate
2.17 people
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2023
Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?
0.1% chance
205
When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?
Apr 2041
(Aug 2036 - Mar 2046)
Apr 2041
(Aug 2036 - Mar 2046)
69 forecasters
How many people will have ever landed on the Moon before 2030?
16.5 people
(13.6 - 21.9)
16.5 people
(13.6 - 21.9)
243 forecasters