Question
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
Total Forecasters93
Community Prediction
2.63 people
(1.03 people - 5.97 people)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.032 | — |
| median | 2.626 | — |
| upper 75% | 5.968 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 1.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2023