14 comments
20 forecasters
Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 17, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2022
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When will the US break up Meta Platforms?
>01 Jan 2030
(25 Jan 2029 - >01 Jan 2030)
>01 Jan 2030
(25 Jan 2029 - >01 Jan 2030)
26 forecasters
Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026?
0.1% chance
142
Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?
72% chance
65