M

Question

In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)?

Resolved :No
Total Forecasters227
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
53.0
Community Peer Score
7.8
median 1.0%mean 2.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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