Question

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024?

Resolved:No
33
161
Total Forecasters458
Community Prediction
0.2%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
72.6
Community Peer Score
18.8
Authors:
Firenze
Opened:Dec 13, 2022
Closes:Jan 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2022
Geopolitics
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