35 forecasters

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

Current estimate

Apr 2046

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 25, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2080

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 1, 2082

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 27, 2022