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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

7 comments7

Forecast Timeline

United States

Estonia

Poland

Latvia

Lithuania

Romania

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
United States	35%

Estonia	28%

Poland	28%

Latvia	27%

Lithuania	26%

Romania	10%

France	8%

Turkey	8%

United Kingdom	5%

Hungary	5%

Norway	5%

Slovakia	5%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

Turkey

September 11 attacks

Russo-Ukrainian War

North Atlantic Treaty

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

62%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

Turkey

September 11 attacks

Russo-Ukrainian War

North Atlantic Treaty

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NATO Conducts Nuclear Exercise After Russia Warning

Newsweek•Oct 14, 2024

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Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

62%