Question

[Short Fuse] What percentage "yes" will Elon Musk's Twitter poll have for stepping down as head of Twitter?

Resolved:57.5
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
57.4
(56.1 - 59)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<350.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%56.09
median57.41
upper 75%58.99
Upper bound
>751.1%

What was the final result?57.5

Community Baseline Score
19.4
Community Peer Score
3.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 19, 2022
Resolves:Dec 19, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2022