🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?

9
9
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction2029-08-22 (2027-08-10 - 2030-01-01)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
<2024-05-02
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01-01
...
...
...
...
...
3.3%
2027-08-10 07:47
2029-08-22 11:26
>2030-01-01 00:00
43.9%
Authors:
Bervie
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Elon Musk
Tesla

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